Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x466c2195bb2f9ae213ac90b86ebeddc4e8bc62a3fd1a495fe695d8c4658774f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,877$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 3,489$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 9c | 2,227$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 1,593$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.05 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,578$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.42 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 468.53$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 41c | 400$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 57c | 346$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 312.85$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 26c | 299.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…6b45backed Yes | 27c | 287.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 34c | 232.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 201.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ea…9002backed Yes | 27c | 191.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0109…28dabacked Yes | 27c | 184.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 74c | 156$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 74c | 151.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 57c | 117$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 26c | 115.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…9826backed Yes | 13c | 90.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…0fb0backed No | 74c | 89.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…8f2dbacked No | 74c | 81.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb56…392bbacked No | 74c | 71.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 68.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…1757backed Yes | 27c | 63.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…ff72backed No | 74c | 58.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 26c | 56.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 54.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 54.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 53.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 75c | 51.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 74c | 47.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 44c | 45.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 26c | 43.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…09bebacked No | 74c | 43.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 42.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 40.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 34.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a2…e6b6backed No | 74c | 31.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 76c | 30.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 15.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 13.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-20?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.