TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Mavericks52c14,075$7,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,318.7925753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks51c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Clippers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers49c8,653$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,413.221,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks30c3,246$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Clippers62c3,147$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.8122159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Clippers28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.981136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks53c2,179$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.891,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Clippers49c2,058$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.3317356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Clippers50c2,025$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.585561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Clippers49c1,966$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.3114355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Mavericks53c1,375$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.8515753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Mavericks50c1,150$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.4914959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers42c1,121$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Clippers48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers49c1,036$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.114,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Clippers48c999.85$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Clippers48c866.9$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7920051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mavericks60c850$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.251,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e9…ce05backed Mavericks71c771.15$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9505…57acbacked Mavericks69c643.85$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Mavericks68c610.73$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1960444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks51c596.3$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.112,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc594…773fbacked Clippers32c590.6$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.71030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Mavericks53c552.7$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Clippers70c501.16$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2312540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mavericks43c482.9$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mavericks17c470.56$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers48c437.33$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Mavericks22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.326142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks69c378.47$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.761,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers48c363.33$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.361,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Mavericks56c358.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.552763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Clippers48c350.02$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Clippers56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.997856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Mavericks43c337.94$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1195848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Mavericks30c319.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.86656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mavericks29c303.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.751,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Mavericks52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15644252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Clippers36c294.82$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Clippers47c292.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2316242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers47c255.04$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.372,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers35c225.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.721,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Clippers29c217.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1737848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Clippers49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0451451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers48c203.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Clippers49c200.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3466153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked Mavericks39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Clippers48c199.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Clippers49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.936248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers48c191.77$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Mavericks52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.123941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers37c178.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.821,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…cc19backed Mavericks56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.361741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Mavericks55c171.81$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Clippers69c164.49$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Mavericks52c155.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Mavericks52c149.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.733251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Mavericks77c147.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9161957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e5…008cbacked Mavericks75c144.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.351643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Clippers52c126.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Mavericks53c124.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.911,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mavericks46c123.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8310447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Clippers37c121.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3338453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Clippers70c121.54$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Mavericks24c115.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1352053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Mavericks40c113.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3131151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Mavericks19c107$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4836154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Mavericks74c105.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Clippers32c104.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9112845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b3…1bebbacked Mavericks56c103.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe73d…cbf8backed Mavericks78c101.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.754557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Mavericks49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4718839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Mavericks53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.514339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Mavericks22c95.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9721640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Clippers48c93.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.741,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Mavericks52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.566152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Mavericks65c91.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Mavericks30c79.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Mavericks26c78.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2414157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers46c77.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.051,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.851,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers47c74.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Mavericks41c72.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.864637%17 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mavericks51c72.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…da42backed Mavericks75c65.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.251931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa15…270ebacked Clippers63c62.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.963458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Clippers35c60.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2621657.9%125 W · 91 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Mavericks52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.147350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Clippers46c55.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Mavericks61c54.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.153164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers31c50.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.061,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed Clippers46c49.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.663743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Mavericks30c49.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.813151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Mavericks52c48.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Mavericks72c47.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1118444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Mavericks72c47.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1116653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Mavericks52c46.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Mavericks53c44.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6827350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.