NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e38870244f32e39db9583ce6ec660cfeb98af8c0eebc9182dc520d16e61065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 19,832$9,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,717.65 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 13,789$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,756.65 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 9,514$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 5,134$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 2,121$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 1,741$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,728$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 1,147$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.44 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,084$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 72c | 945.13$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.03 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 54c | 707.64$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 609.94$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.07 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Under | 62c | 508.09$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 44c | 448.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 59c | 350.01$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 51c | 282.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 51c | 278.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 272.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 42c | 238.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 41c | 230.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 75c | 211.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 202.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 50c | 199.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 51c | 190.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 41c | 180.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 51c | 168$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 49c | 156.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 68c | 128.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Over | 48c | 101.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 49c | 93.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 92.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 70.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 19c | 59.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…3635backed Under | 50c | 58.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 52c | 58.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 49c | 51.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 56c | 45.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 51c | 45.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over | 49c | 38.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 38.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 73c | 38.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Over | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Under | 48c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 38c | 30.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 43c | 30.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…eba5backed Under | 78c | 27.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 57c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 53c | 20.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. ClippersClippers won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.