TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Senegal (15) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,242 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes24c189.33$46 inLost-$45.95238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed Yes22c146.37$32 inLost-$32.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed No74c145$107 inWon+$37.710849.1%53 W · 55 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes34c113.14$39 inLost-$3913855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No69c110.11$76 inWon+$34.0382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…51d5backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost-$251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No73c75.99$56 inWon+$20.1666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes19c68.15$13 inLost-$12.824252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes27c61.2$16 inLost-$16.2328148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No70c55.6$39 inWon+$16.5533937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5c…4568backed No80c50$40 inWon+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No58c30$17 inWon+$12.610164.4%65 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No80c13$10 inWon+$2.619874.7%148 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.