TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Türkiye (22) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,805 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x835c…a5eebacked Yes10c2,116$210 inLost-$209.845554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes32c551.02$174 inLost-$173.645424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Yes11c434.78$48 inLost-$47.76048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed Yes18c148.75$27 inLost-$26.823053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22fa…8135backed Yes8c126.73$11 inLost-$10.621435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No76c111.09$84 inWon+$27.172,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7114…6432backed Yes24c50$12 inLost-$11.952653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+56.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes50c41.41$21 inLost-$20.5579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No60c40.6$24 inWon+$16.162,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No69c37.47$26 inWon+$11.5828554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No69c19.36$13 inWon+$6.0533538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No69c19.18$13 inWon+$5.9933237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No69c16.36$11 inWon+$5.1336139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.