Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c35809c419dd0ae4b7a08f422c3fb9360d660d176704ce9aa0660f1d6a49bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f61…90d6backed Yes | 26c | 3,960$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c64…e2c3backed Yes | 29c | 3,506$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…46eebacked No | 74c | 1,330$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…cf74backed No | 74c | 1,320$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0c7fbacked No | 74c | 1,310$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…aa4abacked No | 71c | 1,203$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…cde3backed No | 71c | 1,202$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…2cdfbacked No | 71c | 1,101$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 8c | 654.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 13c | 509.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 34c | 340.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 13c | 261.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 5c | 256.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 16c | 248.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 20c | 240.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 10c | 237.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 177.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 11c | 163.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…43b3backed No | 69c | 155.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 145.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed Yes | 8c | 143.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed No | 74c | 134.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…25c0backed No | 76c | 130.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…9649backed Yes | 32c | 126.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8e…20fabacked Yes | 38c | 123.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 21c | 116.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 42c | 115.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 70c | 114.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 29c | 111.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 28c | 108.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 32c | 101.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e5…5e3fbacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…b323backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 36c | 91.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…a999backed No | 69c | 90.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Yes | 29c | 90.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 88.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…ca37backed No | 57c | 87.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 72c | 82.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 34c | 80.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…52f0backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 71c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked No | 72c | 79.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 31c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 22c | 77.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 67c | 71.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…908fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked No | 60c | 66.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 65.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Yes | 35c | 64.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…6cecbacked Yes | 36c | 63.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 24c | 54.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…d948backed Yes | 34c | 51.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…b5b2backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 25c | 48.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…53f9backed Yes | 28c | 47.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 47.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 66c | 45.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed No | 62c | 45.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…4e40backed No | 67c | 44.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…fca3backed No | 71c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…5a06backed No | 71c | 39.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 30c | 38.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked No | 60c | 37.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 36.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed Yes | 37c | 34.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked No | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 72c | 28.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 68c | 25.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed No | 61c | 22.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 78c | 21.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…8b12backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 69c | 19.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 69c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…af8bbacked No | 71c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on March 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.