AI · resolved market
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x485d75133073b8f557cfddd9e3bb2585aae9db1ca23b5ff84f4cac9bfb638401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 19c | 6,633$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.86 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…4fc1backed No | 20c | 5,794$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…9fcfbacked Yes | 15c | 5,187$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 9c | 4,303$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.17 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,187$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 16c | 3,500$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.59 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…39d8backed Yes | 53c | 2,854$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.68 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 9c | 2,846$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 51c | 2,838$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 70c | 2,063$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.82 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 46c | 1,963$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.97 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 8c | 1,835$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1253backed Yes | 12c | 1,769$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,768$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…82d3backed Yes | 26c | 1,737$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.68 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 58c | 1,650$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.68 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 76c | 1,589$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.82 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…2a84backed Yes | 11c | 1,461$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,399$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.95 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…6f45backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…31a3backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…71f1backed Yes | 71c | 1,244$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,139$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes | 13c | 1,109$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 57c | 1,093$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.72 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,030$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…7de6backed No | 25c | 998.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…9a32backed Yes | 18c | 959$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…842dbacked Yes | 49c | 921.37$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…8e90backed Yes | 76c | 882.02$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 72c | 850$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…a321backed Yes | 9c | 816.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 76c | 796$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.41 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 5c | 791.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed No | 43c | 755.01$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.7 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…6de5backed Yes | 9c | 672.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 51c | 654.37$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.22 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 67c | 633.79$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.12 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…a163backed Yes | 10c | 618.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 61c | 610.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.57 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 586.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…3a13backed Yes | 13c | 569.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…c29fbacked Yes | 44c | 521.6$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 21c | 492.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…ff3cbacked Yes | 10c | 468.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed Yes | 79c | 445.41$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -67%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…195cbacked No | 24c | 391.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 9c | 386.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 10c | 377.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…929ebacked Yes | 9c | 376.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed No | 62c | 312.6$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 33c | 309.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8386…c2f2backed Yes | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 287.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 12c | 282.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed No | 39c | 269.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 70c | 251.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…f378backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…bcb7backed Yes | 8c | 184$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…36e2backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 35c | 156.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 155.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6f93backed Yes | 8c | 155.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb480…6db0backed Yes | 18c | 139.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…505fbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130e…cc45backed No | 53c | 133.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 11c | 131.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…07efbacked Yes | 9c | 127.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Yes | 19c | 126.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 121.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 40c | 111$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 69c | 107.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 101.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…711bbacked Yes | 77c | 101.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…35f0backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 13c | 94.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 33c | 91.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 34c | 84.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 48c | 84.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…7ec2backed Yes | 76c | 79.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…87dbbacked Yes | 19c | 78.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…9ecdbacked No | 21c | 72.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…2babbacked No | 76c | 71.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 44c | 67.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…1c72backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8676…42d0backed No | 61c | 64.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…4333backed Yes | 21c | 56.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…1548backed No | 37c | 55.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked No | 49c | 52.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 39c | 50.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?this page
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.