AI · resolved market
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55531f18047d867e870e97ab7ab9361af02b69aeb5f04c37fef43fc50b20a11a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,870$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 5c | 1,808$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.35 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…0411backed No | 76c | 1,796$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 17c | 1,645$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.96 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 1,508$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.19 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 14c | 1,490$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.79 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 14c | 1,250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.29 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…7839backed No | 38c | 1,148$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 28c | 1,142$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 33c | 963$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.54 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 75c | 680.77$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.85 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 12c | 665.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.66 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 3c | 633.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed No | 9c | 568.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 79c | 553.96$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.36 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 12c | 553$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.14 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 16c | 515.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.68 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked No | 14c | 499$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 8c | 440$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 12c | 438.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 65c | 395.06$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 7c | 380.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed No | 26c | 378.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 25c | 333.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 15c | 293.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 293.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.64 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9974…2840backed Yes | 72c | 288.73$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…b1c3backed No | 12c | 256.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 63c | 217.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 215.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…6407backed No | 41c | 214.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 5c | 214.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…0c0dbacked No | 7c | 191.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +401.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 44c | 186.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 179.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…3aacbacked No | 20c | 173.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed Yes | 79c | 165.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 32c | 164.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…bad7backed No | 10c | 148.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +890.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 79c | 140.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed No | 14c | 131.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 70c | 128.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…bb43backed No | 64c | 125.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 17c | 123.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8467…f9e4backed Yes | 76c | 122.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…7126backed No | 24c | 107.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…b650backed No | 21c | 98.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed No | 20c | 95.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…770ebacked Yes | 22c | 91.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…37e8backed No | 15c | 88.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 67c | 85.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…e5c2backed No | 22c | 76.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 39c | 75.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…13eabacked No | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 24c | 57.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 55.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…4f7cbacked Yes | 21c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e3…6867backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…94b4backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…b81fbacked Yes | 80c | 49.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…c546backed Yes | 75c | 42.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9536backed No | 25c | 42.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +301.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9446backed No | 40c | 40.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -10.9wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…67b0backed No | 59c | 38.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…1666backed Yes | 77c | 36.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…a3c9backed Yes | 79c | 31.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 80c | 31.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 75c | 28.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bffabacked Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…fcbbbacked Yes | 78c | 20.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…fe32backed Yes | 78c | 20.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…e9cdbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2991…4073backed No | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 59c | 17.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…e9e8backed Yes | 79c | 16.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…2d27backed Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 14.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 142 | 81%115 W · 27 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.