Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x576954b825a4a40b0cda959c187ecd35d98993f8635e2f2de7b067c6bd640260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 39c | 8,897$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.55 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 6,404$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 4,552$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 45c | 4,467$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 63c | 3,546$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.92 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,850$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.95 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 2,610$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,227$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.76 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 999.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.97 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f444backed No | 62c | 904.8$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 871.32$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.16 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 41c | 450$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 61c | 317.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 31c | 297.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 17c | 283.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 80c | 249$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 33c | 246.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 199.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 148.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ce…ac76backed Yes | 49c | 122.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 11c | 122.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 57c | 114.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 12c | 98.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed No | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 71c | 72.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 57.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 32c | 44.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed No | 50c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.