Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f88f8315650e2bbbee782103599e607dc4f0d9b87f5b1536df1539984f22539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 2,102$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.59 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 841.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 28c | 779.75$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.72 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 31c | 710.14$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 645.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 589.89$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.51 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 22c | 405$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 321$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 320.09$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Yes | 34c | 292.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 77c | 237.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 234.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 177$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…f0bcbacked Yes | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 23c | 98.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ce…ac76backed Yes | 23c | 96.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 46c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…3f04backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 26c | 69.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 20c | 69.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 80c | 69.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed Yes | 34c | 54.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 36.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…0986backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.