Earnings · resolved market
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f64d937ba842861dc6a9dbaaafc8c85dfda68fc01f1c76d3160b4caaf6fa67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 68c | 2,092$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 32c | 1,545$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 28c | 410.05$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…7f2dbacked No | 77c | 390.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 43c | 338.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…4003backed Yes | 23c | 326.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 20c | 261.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…d850backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yes | 22c | 232.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…c42dbacked Yes | 20c | 189$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 19c | 173.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Yes | 32c | 108.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…bbd0backed No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…33b3backed Yes | 21c | 95.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 79c | 90.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 23c | 69.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 18c | 62.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…4c35backed No | 61c | 61.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…684cbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked No | 74c | 51.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…3241backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…b489backed Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…9850backed No | 80c | 27.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…d88abacked No | 78c | 15.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…9fbdbacked No | 80c | 13.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.