Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b02ac303110119a6fbec6d5cb75f7a9198402c98b45d51c80775e4aa2d1c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 28c | 8,254$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 9c | 8,046$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 80c | 3,230$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 2,288$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.94 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 1,553$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.81 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Yes | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 1,143$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.63 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 980$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 951$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…5052backed Yes | 19c | 525.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 21c | 450$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed Yes | 65c | 429.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 13c | 410.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 360.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 38c | 259.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.67 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…5310backed Yes | 20c | 235$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 75c | 196$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 19c | 140.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 74c | 125$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 43c | 124.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 69c | 101.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 61c | 94.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…458ebacked Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f444backed No | 28c | 89.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 24c | 86.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 78c | 79.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 73.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…8709backed Yes | 21c | 70.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 60c | 69.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 27c | 59.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 20c | 55.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 51.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 75c | 46.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 39c | 45.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…eea3backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 80c | 29.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…0a13backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 26.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 60c | 24.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…2c1abacked No | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.