CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd597f21fc27c351e0eaa78a00f8bcc7d9ff5ee8afcf1107a367e315134aa692e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 54c | 1,487$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.71 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 46c | 987.08$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.06 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Over | 46c | 885.35$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 54c | 863.63$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.27 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 20c | 414.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 35c | 396.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 46c | 319.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 48c | 239.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 156.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 57c | 127.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Under | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 76.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Over | 25c | 76.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 47c | 60.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…de06backed Under | 65c | 55.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 54c | 48.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 54c | 48.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 56c | 46.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 42.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Over | 46c | 41.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…0d28backed Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Under | 55c | 32.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 46c | 30.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Over | 50c | 30.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d40…1841backed Over | 46c | 28.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 68c | 28.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 53c | 28.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked Over | 47c | 27.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 54c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 76c | 17.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.