CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd910c3369b117cca0d798cba3e0650472ac57f9fd9339984c8aca9177b2db1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 82,261$31,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,001.68 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked B8 | 62c | 70,282$43,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,572.03 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked B8 | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 39c | 9,130$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 7,112$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.93 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 3,136$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.3 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked B8 | 43c | 2,757$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.42 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 2,166$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.07 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed B8 | 63c | 1,939$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.49 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked B8 | 64c | 1,548$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.95 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,499$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.07 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed B8 | 63c | 1,400$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.97 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,174$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.97 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed B8 | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 780.16$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked B8 | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 481.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.47 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 411.15$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed B8 | 73c | 401.81$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.39 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 341.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked B8 | 64c | 249.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked B8 | 63c | 239.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed B8 | 61c | 232.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 156.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 128.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed B8 | 45c | 118.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked B8 | 61c | 113.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 53c | 99.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked B8 | 61c | 87.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 86.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 76.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed B8 | 64c | 53.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 38c | 49.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 49.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked B8 | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 42.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked B8 | 61c | 39.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked B8 | 37c | 35.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed B8 | 64c | 33.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…a3c2backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…2ebdbacked B8 | 58c | 24.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe1…29aabacked B8 | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.