Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce36c8fe84f206fd8c7923bac3e9358438578dad2716c18d54b60ace90a821bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 23c | 6,113$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.69 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 2,240$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 1,212$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.03 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Yes | 76c | 1,038$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 24c | 850.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 704.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Yes | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 78c | 562.29$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 19c | 507.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 450.25$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 4c | 423.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 420.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…1a62backed Yes | 74c | 400.93$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 24c | 356.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 78c | 235.65$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 16c | 205.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 23c | 195$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 75c | 161.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…4562backed Yes | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 23c | 124.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 24c | 121.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 26c | 117.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed No | 14c | 109.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Yes | 75c | 105.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…1607backed Yes | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 27c | 94.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 76c | 92.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 78c | 91.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fa8ebacked Yes | 76c | 91.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 75c | 83.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 16c | 73.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 78c | 68.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 76c | 61.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 26c | 58.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Yes | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…3a6ebacked Yes | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…0058backed Yes | 76c | 38.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Yes | 78c | 37.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Yes | 79c | 30.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…be0cbacked Yes | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…8665backed Yes | 76c | 23.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 73c | 22.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…3ab2backed Yes | 79c | 20.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 78c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…622cbacked Yes | 73c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 73c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 77c | 16.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.