Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5467fe4ef658141a1bdbf64103dc89c63e6e8500752530bd399c7f098b81591e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,316$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.75 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 1,856$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.78 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 405.08$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.02 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 60c | 381.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 18c | 307.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 21c | 260$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 78c | 258.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 249.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 238.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 52c | 199.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 64c | 168.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 54c | 158.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 146.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 140.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 137.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 56c | 135.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 128.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 115.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 101.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 49c | 91.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057b…0d86backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 79c | 79.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 77.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 58c | 71.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 26c | 70.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 20c | 66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 50.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 53c | 43.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 43c | 33.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 26.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 22.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.