CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d3e97bdae3f573b6686806b0c62035580e6f6f2db023e46a3565132eca8929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 4,700$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.27 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 3,316$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 2,499$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.8 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 642.56$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.3 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 609.34$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 528.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 454.04$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 322.17$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 312.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 233.42$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed ex-RUBY | 13c | 229.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 204.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 34c | 188.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 182$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 165.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 165.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 162.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 121.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 119.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 111$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…22ffbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 102.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 98.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 97.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 82.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 65.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 49.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 48.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked ex-RUBY | 47c | 35.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 35.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…3024backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 22.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 19.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.