Lol · resolved market
LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391a6fda8827716298f9a4dbfee26067880204f3a6290342bbd3260f6c48da9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rising Gamingof Uwinks, Rising Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Rising Gaming | 69c | 38,595$26,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,885.3 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Uwinks | 31c | 33,672$10,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,325.23 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Uwinks | 32c | 1,196$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.21 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…f147backed Uwinks | 33c | 912.24$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Uwinks | 31c | 866$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.38 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Uwinks | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Uwinks | 29c | 708.19$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Uwinks | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Rising Gaming | 69c | 488.68$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Rising Gaming | 70c | 352.23$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Rising Gaming | 75c | 325.18$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…1ab1backed Uwinks | 31c | 248$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Uwinks | 31c | 245$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Uwinks | 22c | 237.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Uwinks | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Uwinks | 31c | 189.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Uwinks | 31c | 158$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Rising Gaming | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 236 | 74.6%176 W · 60 L | +17.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Uwinks | 29c | 116.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…8602backed Rising Gaming | 71c | 92.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Uwinks | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Rising Gaming | 70c | 86.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 278 | 43.9%122 W · 156 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Uwinks | 30c | 66.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Uwinks | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rising Gaming | 63c | 62.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Uwinks | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Uwinks | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Rising Gaming | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Uwinks | 34c | 57.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Uwinks | 31c | 53.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Uwinks | 31c | 52.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Uwinks | 30c | 39.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Uwinks | 35c | 38.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Uwinks | 32c | 37.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Rising Gaming | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Rising Gaming | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Rising Gaming | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…053bbacked Rising Gaming | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.