Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaedbc15e3e2ee8f15952ee37ec2c806b854a63c3b41d582d58d0045984041cba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Utah Thunderbirdsof Utah Valley Wolverines, Southern Utah Thunderbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,057 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 50c | 1,158$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.34 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 441.03$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.51 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 437.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 120.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 53c | 95.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 50c | 95.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 48c | 90.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 47c | 89.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 50c | 78.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 65.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 66c | 64.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 52.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 42.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 33.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 25.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-9.5)this page
- Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah ThunderbirdsUtah Valley Wolverines won
- Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 150.5Over won
- Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.