CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8d30fc44c678e19240cf0800658ec85280b76f03177eadd0d01ab3e5c5527f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 5,257$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed MOUZ NXT | 69c | 4,489$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 1,376$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.84 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 935.27$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 793.56$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 739.12$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.24 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Johnny Speeds | 58c | 704.53$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.47 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 641.51$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.38 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Johnny Speeds | 31c | 579.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.26 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Johnny Speeds | 24c | 514.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 492.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Johnny Speeds | 59c | 486.49$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.04 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 482.74$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 40c | 428.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 427.39$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.99 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 231.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 223.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…bda1backed MOUZ NXT | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Johnny Speeds | 66c | 153.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Johnny Speeds | 59c | 153$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…55d2backed Johnny Speeds | 69c | 144.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 134.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 105.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Johnny Speeds | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Johnny Speeds | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…ea6fbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…330abacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 81.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 77.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…706dbacked Johnny Speeds | 57c | 74.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 74.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 65.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 62.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 54.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…ec93backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Johnny Speeds | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…a933backed Johnny Speeds | 28c | 46.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…1c3cbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MOUZ NXT | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Johnny Speeds | 35c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 30.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…2430backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 28.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.