TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, ENCE Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b12…43c8backed ENCE Academy40c3,867$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.946836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed ENCE Academy40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8421941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Sashi Esport60c2,723$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.1117249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Sashi Esport73c2,513$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.4222142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d35…47c3backed ENCE Academy12c2,169$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Sashi Esport70c2,168$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.8192152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed ENCE Academy14c1,839$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0635033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Sashi Esport72c1,563$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.523953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x288d…8261backed ENCE Academy36c1,374$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked ENCE Academy37c1,336$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8827530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sashi Esport72c1,273$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5387244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked ENCE Academy26c1,147$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0152636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d3…557ebacked ENCE Academy38c1,103$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sashi Esport67c1,092$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.712,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Sashi Esport73c1,035$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3885446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked ENCE Academy29c1,034$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6216235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba92…49e9backed ENCE Academy41c1,031$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ENCE Academy27c988.8$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.535,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c6…a4b7backed Sashi Esport64c978$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…dc8bbacked Sashi Esport62c934$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ENCE Academy33c929.26$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.661,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Sashi Esport67c897.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.611485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed ENCE Academy27c840.98$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0616750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ENCE Academy30c831.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.315,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…7485backed ENCE Academy41c804$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked ENCE Academy33c799.98$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed ENCE Academy28c796.17$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.656259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d3…9b8fbacked Sashi Esport64c775$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc63…2573backed Sashi Esport59c740.99$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE Academy27c717.82$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.377,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0faa…e972backed Sashi Esport71c707.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed ENCE Academy28c696.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4116450.6%83 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ENCE Academy28c673.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.761,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked ENCE Academy27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked ENCE Academy25c586.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5818550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f0…f113backed Sashi Esport59c582$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ENCE Academy16c570.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.083,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb33…c045backed ENCE Academy36c525$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed ENCE Academy18c511.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5538037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ENCE Academy22c504.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.385,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sashi Esport71c473$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1754348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Sashi Esport64c445.03$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2146843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Sashi Esport75c414$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.510445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Sashi Esport70c388.56$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9816829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed ENCE Academy27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sashi Esport70c328.09$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.884,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Sashi Esport71c326.73$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2311543.5%50 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed ENCE Academy29c323.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.868951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Sashi Esport71c304.1$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.192075%15 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed ENCE Academy30c281.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1854032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Sashi Esport74c278.25$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7f…ad2cbacked Sashi Esport60c261.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed ENCE Academy36c253$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1929244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Sashi Esport70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed ENCE Academy21c236.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.131,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked ENCE Academy27c220$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.41,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Sashi Esport75c214.72$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6838739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed ENCE Academy16c213.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.615022%11 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Sashi Esport71c211.45$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0314863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Sashi Esport71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2759049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked ENCE Academy30c200.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed ENCE Academy27c199.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6232844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…cfccbacked Sashi Esport59c182$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc282…3c73backed Sashi Esport59c175$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked ENCE Academy37c172$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6448948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Sashi Esport73c171$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.176858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed ENCE Academy29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.324038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8681…6fafbacked Sashi Esport62c169$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2e…b5a5backed ENCE Academy34c164.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6913847.1%65 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked ENCE Academy30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b9…4df2backed Sashi Esport67c149.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.431258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sashi Esport77c148.8$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9160147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed ENCE Academy30c148.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.484827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bfa…fbd7backed Sashi Esport64c145$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed ENCE Academy12c141.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4919342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Sashi Esport74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1421867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2328…e304backed Sashi Esport59c127.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.132657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Sashi Esport70c122.2$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.291662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed ENCE Academy37c122$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1427443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed ENCE Academy29c121.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1510952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sashi Esport67c118.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.515,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed ENCE Academy28c117.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4830335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0f…a189backed ENCE Academy28c112$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed ENCE Academy31c111.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2583543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Sashi Esport78c109.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f5…39b9backed Sashi Esport59c107$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Sashi Esport76c105.02$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8423858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e1…78c0backed ENCE Academy29c101$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Sashi Esport71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2970038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed ENCE Academy27c93.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.328549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed ENCE Academy29c91.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4196543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a38…2a21backed Sashi Esport57c87.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.993759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sashi Esport60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3371951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed ENCE Academy29c71.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.827847.4%37 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked ENCE Academy28c69.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5333539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedfe…a099backed Sashi Esport65c69.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sashi Esport74c66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1639239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ENCE Academy29c65.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.772,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Sashi Esport72c65.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.287742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a3…48febacked Sashi Esport72c65.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.