CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x491ccfa955f5851f27ab1eeeaeda1f4342678b56e89ad245d56d890ba0c51b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOLHA AMARELAof FOLHA AMARELA, R2 Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39b2…0ca7backed R2 Esports Club | 37c | 14,094$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 3,568$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.49 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed R2 Esports Club | 10c | 2,168$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.4 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed R2 Esports Club | 24c | 2,088$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 1,980$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.44 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked R2 Esports Club | 28c | 1,752$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.33 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 73c | 1,183$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.29 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 74c | 1,005$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked R2 Esports Club | 23c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed R2 Esports Club | 27c | 800$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked R2 Esports Club | 19c | 723.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed R2 Esports Club | 23c | 719.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked R2 Esports Club | 28c | 597.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked R2 Esports Club | 26c | 591.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed R2 Esports Club | 28c | 556.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed R2 Esports Club | 24c | 556.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.61 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FOLHA AMARELA | 67c | 522$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…b4d4backed R2 Esports Club | 29c | 521.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…4dccbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 77c | 500$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…27e2backed R2 Esports Club | 24c | 456.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 453.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed R2 Esports Club | 17c | 340.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 321.28$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed R2 Esports Club | 27c | 299.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…c3eabacked FOLHA AMARELA | 67c | 286.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed R2 Esports Club | 4c | 267.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked R2 Esports Club | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed R2 Esports Club | 21c | 235$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed R2 Esports Club | 23c | 192.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed R2 Esports Club | 23c | 191.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 169.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked R2 Esports Club | 25c | 154.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 137.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a2…e35ebacked R2 Esports Club | 28c | 133.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 132.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed R2 Esports Club | 24c | 124.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…7aa1backed R2 Esports Club | 24c | 106$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked R2 Esports Club | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…79b7backed R2 Esports Club | 25c | 93.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…90f3backed R2 Esports Club | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…3e41backed R2 Esports Club | 27c | 91.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed R2 Esports Club | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed R2 Esports Club | 15c | 78.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…8feebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed R2 Esports Club | 33c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked R2 Esports Club | 21c | 58.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked FOLHA AMARELA | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed FOLHA AMARELA | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed R2 Esports Club | 28c | 45.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…0c1ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…7d8fbacked R2 Esports Club | 26c | 41.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…0adbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FOLHA AMARELA | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…3871backed FOLHA AMARELA | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97aa…9faebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…e093backed FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…5222backed FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77c…bfffbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…c4d1backed FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…e1edbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…433dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…b546backed FOLHA AMARELA | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…5cc3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…31bebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…f113backed FOLHA AMARELA | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…6b00backed FOLHA AMARELA | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.