TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc77c…bfff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+32.5%+$4.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.3%+$8.86
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.