TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portland State Vikingsof Weber State Wildcats, Portland State Vikings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Portland State Vikings66c2,676$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.021,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Weber State Wildcats2c2,660$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.231837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Weber State Wildcats35c2,162$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.7760949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Weber State Wildcats34c1,844$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.912,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Weber State Wildcats4c1,606$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0125325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b8…a992backed Weber State Wildcats35c1,554$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Weber State Wildcats32c1,386$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.721,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Portland State Vikings70c1,160$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.023,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Portland State Vikings68c1,114$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Weber State Wildcats34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed Portland State Vikings65c974.08$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings65c673.34$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Portland State Vikings66c669.69$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.311,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Weber State Wildcats32c650$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Portland State Vikings73c599.28$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.061,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Portland State Vikings65c441.46$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.514548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Weber State Wildcats34c399.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Portland State Vikings69c384$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.042,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Weber State Wildcats36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f51…e179backed Weber State Wildcats14c286.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.322516%4 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Weber State Wildcats36c275.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.194843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Weber State Wildcats8c275.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.524,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weber State Wildcats34c210$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.42,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Weber State Wildcats34c199.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.831,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Portland State Vikings66c166.05$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9211362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Portland State Vikings66c150.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.211257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Weber State Wildcats34c136.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Portland State Vikings64c130.04$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.821,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Weber State Wildcats32c124.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.77319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland State Vikings64c112.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.355,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Weber State Wildcats22c99.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.877648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…5043backed Weber State Wildcats36c97.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d2…b28fbacked Portland State Vikings65c87.3$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Weber State Wildcats35c75.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3631647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc729…d7b6backed Portland State Vikings79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a2…1053backed Weber State Wildcats24c69.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Weber State Wildcats28c61.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Weber State Wildcats35c53.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Portland State Vikings65c51.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Weber State Wildcats29c51.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.071,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Portland State Vikings66c51.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.387561.3%46 W · 29 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Portland State Vikings66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1720254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Weber State Wildcats34c43.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8448551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Weber State Wildcats35c42.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.884334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Weber State Wildcats35c41.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland State Vikings66c39.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Weber State Wildcats32c36.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.645056%28 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Weber State Wildcats35c35.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.372642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Portland State Vikings66c30.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2658652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Weber State Wildcats35c29.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4225837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Weber State Wildcats36c27.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Portland State Vikings65c27.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6933445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc77c…bfffbacked Portland State Vikings70c19.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.