Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2df8b926aaa2a7f1d86e18c6a02c2863d81af453dca32470e6d93d34f5f8652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Portland State Vikings, Weber State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 37,112$18,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,653.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 18,049$8,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,114.38 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 13,695$6,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.63 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 13,519$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,852.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 9,407$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.89 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 4,999$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.56 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 4,983$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.31 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 4,978$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.03 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 3,965$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 3,617$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.54 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.71 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 1,686$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 1,573$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.32 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 1,438$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.96 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 1,405$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.63 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 1,032$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.01 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 984.42$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.21 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 970.36$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.65 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 609.63$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.06 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 609.62$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.81 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 500$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 403$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 303.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 275$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 206.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 153.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 98.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 85.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Weber State Wildcats | 55c | 83.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 75.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 72.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 62.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 48.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 46.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 44.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Portland State Vikings | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 32.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…8abcbacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 29.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 29.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 29.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 28.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 28.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 25.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 22.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Portland State Vikings | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)this page
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State VikingsPortland State Vikings won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 142.5Over won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 143.5Over won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.