CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 33 vs Acend (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc6b513bb085baf89890da53c4a2f4e1d10bcbf4cd01aa8383e15591d6d01f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof 33, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,590 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Acend | 36c | 834.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.05 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 35c | 696.92$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed 33 | 64c | 683.12$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed 33 | 63c | 348.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.7 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 33 | 63c | 256.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 33 | 34c | 151.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Acend | 48c | 84.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 33 | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed 33 | 62c | 58.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 33 | 65c | 57.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 79c | 53.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Acend | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Acend | 47c | 43.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked 33 | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked 33 | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Acend | 79c | 38.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed 33 | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Acend | 75c | 27.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed 33 | 64c | 24.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed 33 | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9bc8backed 33 | 76c | 21.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked 33 | 60c | 21.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked 33 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed 33 | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed 33 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.