Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Emilio Nava
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e03d41b2bbeb9b15495b454bfeb8c81d946668b4f659d7cca69af15048ccdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisco Cerundoloof Francisco Cerundolo, Emilio Nava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Emilio Nava | 7c | 21,001$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.23 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Emilio Nava | 10c | 12,332$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.16 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Emilio Nava | 18c | 11,843$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.81 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Emilio Nava | 12c | 10,352$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Emilio Nava | 4c | 9,244$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.7 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Emilio Nava | 0c | 7,123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Emilio Nava | 15c | 5,318$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Emilio Nava | 14c | 4,886$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.24 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Emilio Nava | 9c | 3,249$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.33 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Emilio Nava | 22c | 2,731$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…18ffbacked Emilio Nava | 20c | 2,558$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Emilio Nava | 16c | 2,436$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.77 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Emilio Nava | 11c | 2,319$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Emilio Nava | 2c | 1,620$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Emilio Nava | 13c | 1,618$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Emilio Nava | 19c | 1,335$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Emilio Nava | 19c | 1,286$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Emilio Nava | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Emilio Nava | 7c | 839.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Emilio Nava | 18c | 800$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Francisco Cerundolo | 78c | 786.77$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Emilio Nava | 10c | 668.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Emilio Nava | 18c | 621.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Emilio Nava | 13c | 617$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Emilio Nava | 12c | 566.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Emilio Nava | 16c | 505.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Emilio Nava | 9c | 447.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Emilio Nava | 12c | 405.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Emilio Nava | 19c | 395$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Emilio Nava | 13c | 326$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Emilio Nava | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…5d44backed Emilio Nava | 19c | 256.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Emilio Nava | 18c | 252.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Emilio Nava | 19c | 247.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Emilio Nava | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b33fbacked Emilio Nava | 16c | 225$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 204$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Emilio Nava | 7c | 201.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Emilio Nava | 7c | 190.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Emilio Nava | 7c | 188.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Emilio Nava | 19c | 154$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Emilio Nava | 20c | 127.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Emilio Nava | 17c | 114.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Emilio Nava | 12c | 109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Emilio Nava | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542d…63aebacked Emilio Nava | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Emilio Nava | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 80c | 86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Emilio Nava | 18c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Emilio Nava | 17c | 63.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Emilio Nava | 19c | 58.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…b344backed Francisco Cerundolo | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Francisco Cerundolo | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Francisco Cerundolo | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chile Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Emilio Navathis page
- Cerundolo vs. Nava: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Nava (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.