CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x183be21b13649eb6eb2374d0b8a69a20638585b17e73c403db03302e0ec372c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,954 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5639…a907backed Donstu Esports | 59c | 7,425$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed 1WIN | 52c | 3,383$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.33 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…fce1backed Donstu Esports | 44c | 2,558$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…38d6backed 1WIN | 56c | 2,558$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 1WIN | 63c | 1,063$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 1WIN | 79c | 800.01$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 72c | 800$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 669.21$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d9…d520backed 1WIN | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Donstu Esports | 13c | 499.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Donstu Esports | 28c | 427.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked 1WIN | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked 1WIN | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed 1WIN | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 1WIN | 73c | 373$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked 1WIN | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked 1WIN | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +224.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed 1WIN | 72c | 253.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3fd0backed 1WIN | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +200%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed 1WIN | 67c | 189.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed 1WIN | 66c | 180.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…0d85backed 1WIN | 71c | 174.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 166.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked 1WIN | 60c | 158.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed 1WIN | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…9cd6backed 1WIN | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 146.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed 1WIN | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked 1WIN | 69c | 125.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked 1WIN | 20c | 120.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 117.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 1WIN | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 1WIN | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…46adbacked Donstu Esports | 28c | 95.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked 1WIN | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…c84dbacked 1WIN | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…c8d4backed 1WIN | 65c | 77.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…baacbacked 1WIN | 73c | 76.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…177ebacked 1WIN | 74c | 75.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Donstu Esports | 21c | 74.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 70.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed 1WIN | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Donstu Esports | 36c | 66.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Donstu Esports | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed 1WIN | 62c | 62.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed 1WIN | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed 1WIN | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Donstu Esports | 22c | 57.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed 1WIN | 78c | 57.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed 1WIN | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Donstu Esports | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed 1WIN | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Donstu Esports | 38c | 39.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed 1WIN | 44c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 1WIN | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked 1WIN | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed 1WIN | 65c | 22.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked 1WIN | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked 1WIN | 77c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed 1WIN | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed 1WIN | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked 1WIN | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…cba2backed 1WIN | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked 1WIN | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.