College Football · resolved market
Spread: Kennesaw State (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d53332b98fc16ed24ff5998e68bda204c07f16a43adc95df1411127206a09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw Stateof Kennesaw State, UTEP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed UTEP | 46c | 117,076$53,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,854.9 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed UTEP | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Kennesaw State | 48c | 79,741$38,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,465.32 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kennesaw State | 52c | 72,181$37,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,733.66 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed UTEP | 52c | 32,000$16,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,640 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 26,171$14,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,038.63 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed UTEP | 50c | 25,590$12,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,757.15 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 21,134$11,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,833.77 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 20,200$10,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,427 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kennesaw State | 51c | 17,159$8,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,327.95 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kennesaw State | 48c | 9,504$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.02 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 6,197$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.08 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UTEP | 46c | 5,248$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.13 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kennesaw State | 54c | 4,966$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.41 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 4,787$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.85 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 3,633$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.07 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked UTEP | 49c | 1,710$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Kennesaw State | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kennesaw State | 49c | 912.18$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.95 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kennesaw State | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Kennesaw State | 55c | 317.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kennesaw State | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed UTEP | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Kennesaw State | 51c | 241.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kennesaw State | 43c | 216.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed UTEP | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed UTEP | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Kennesaw State | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 162.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Kennesaw State | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked UTEP | 49c | 125.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kennesaw State | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Kennesaw State | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Kennesaw State | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UTEP | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 30.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…287cbacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Kennesaw State | 49c | 21.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…b16abacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 20.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Kennesaw State | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Kennesaw State | 57c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Kennesaw State (-5.5)Kennesaw State won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-11.5)Kennesaw State won
- UTEP vs. Kennesaw StateKennesaw State won
- UTEP vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 50.5Over won
- UTEP vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 52.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.