College Football · resolved market
O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502ac887344aebd2c4503e0b4027c4e01dc84d099496d585fb3edcb4ad19b0fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,836$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.15 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Under | 48c | 1,521$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,110$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 275.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 47c | 271$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…caddbacked Under | 53c | 156.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 47c | 151.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 46c | 94.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Over | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Under | 54c | 29.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 51.5this page
- 1H Spread: Kennesaw State (-5.5)Kennesaw State won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-10.5)Kennesaw State won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-11.5)Kennesaw State won
- UTEP vs. Kennesaw StateKennesaw State won
- UTEP vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 50.5Over won
- UTEP vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 52.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.