CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce2010b2d4d705aac9ff546bde7931833ad505e7d56479b5d1e472096f04619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof AM Gaming, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,291 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AM Gaming | 41c | 3,466$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed AM Gaming | 48c | 3,191$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.45 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed AM Gaming | 46c | 3,129$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc4…df93backed AM Gaming | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed AM Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed AM Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 57c | 1,901$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 39c | 1,621$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked AM Gaming | 44c | 1,229$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.04 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MASONIC | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.42 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed AM Gaming | 64c | 621.54$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.67 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MASONIC | 46c | 586.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.96 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…69bbbacked AM Gaming | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 44c | 470.07$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed AM Gaming | 50c | 379.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed AM Gaming | 34c | 309.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AM Gaming | 56c | 235.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed AM Gaming | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AM Gaming | 15c | 227$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MASONIC | 50c | 225.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed AM Gaming | 42c | 198$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MASONIC | 29c | 166.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed AM Gaming | 49c | 136.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…8336backed MASONIC | 40c | 118.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed MASONIC | 46c | 109.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed AM Gaming | 51c | 108.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked MASONIC | 31c | 104.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AM Gaming | 47c | 100.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed MASONIC | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AM Gaming | 41c | 96.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed AM Gaming | 61c | 84.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked AM Gaming | 28c | 82.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MASONIC | 50c | 69.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MASONIC | 48c | 69.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed MASONIC | 38c | 61.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MASONIC | 35c | 55.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AM Gaming | 57c | 40.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed MASONIC | 33c | 37.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed MASONIC | 45c | 34.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked AM Gaming | 38c | 30.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…bb60backed AM Gaming | 62c | 21.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed MASONIC | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…ed96backed AM Gaming | 76c | 19.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed AM Gaming | 57c | 18.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.