College Football · resolved market
Central Michigan vs. Bowling
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b39e14d81a3e92f240cf3432a098bf98bc412d20f5e5a6be0396f5dfe08f813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michiganof Central Michigan, Bowling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $434,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Bowling | 61c | 379,645$231,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,580.34 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Central Michigan | 39c | 180,000$70,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,800 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Central Michigan | 39c | 65,000$25,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,649.97 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Central Michigan | 39c | 47,136$18,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,756.73 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Central Michigan | 39c | 18,559$7,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,320.99 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Central Michigan | 39c | 14,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Central Michigan | 39c | 13,575$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,280.49 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Central Michigan | 40c | 11,250$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Central Michigan | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Central Michigan | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Central Michigan | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Bowling | 60c | 5,809$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Central Michigan | 42c | 5,786$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Central Michigan | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Central Michigan | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Central Michigan | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bowling | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Central Michigan | 39c | 2,268$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.41 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bowling | 1c | 2,202$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Central Michigan | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Central Michigan | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bowling | 61c | 1,174$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.02 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bowling | 58c | 1,164$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Central Michigan | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Bowling | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Central Michigan | 39c | 864.1$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Central Michigan | 35c | 627.02$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.91 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bowling | 65c | 581.29$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.88 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bowling | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Central Michigan | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…2c5abacked Central Michigan | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…6e97backed Bowling | 20c | 495.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bowling | 59c | 485.35$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bowling | 20c | 372$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Central Michigan | 39c | 356$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Central Michigan | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed Central Michigan | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Central Michigan | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Central Michigan | 76c | 180.26$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bowling | 9c | 174.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Michigan | 74c | 155.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bowling | 66c | 152.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Central Michigan | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Central Michigan | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Central Michigan | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Central Michigan | 35c | 107.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bowling | 14c | 105.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Central Michigan | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling | 60c | 101.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…3d53backed Bowling | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Bowling | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Central Michigan | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Bowling | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…31f4backed Bowling | 62c | 90.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Bowling | 58c | 88.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Central Michigan | 36c | 87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Bowling | 63c | 79.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…eb41backed Bowling | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bowling | 59c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…a4a4backed Central Michigan | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…8eacbacked Central Michigan | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Central Michigan | 39c | 50.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bowling | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Central Michigan | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Central Michigan | 39c | 46.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Central Michigan | 38c | 45.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80b…4d10backed Bowling | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Central Michigan | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Central Michigan | 35c | 35.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…3f15backed Bowling | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…0baebacked Bowling | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Central Michigan | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc055…b4c1backed Bowling | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Bowling | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…c740backed Bowling | 63c | 23.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…47dcbacked Bowling | 61c | 22.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb794…3143backed Bowling | 62c | 17.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan vs. Bowlingthis page
- O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Bowling (-3.5)Central Michigan won
- Spread: Bowling (-4.5)Central Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.