TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Bowling (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Central Michiganof Bowling, Central Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bowling49c22,342$10,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,947.4837749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Central Michigan51c22,332$11,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,942.6881847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b0…8e17backed Bowling49c4,907$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.43650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bowling47c3,019$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.8752641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Central Michigan53c2,264$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.156656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29f…f878backed Central Michigan51c1,242$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…68b5backed Central Michigan51c1,188$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d45…7d59backed Central Michigan51c1,157$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…d71bbacked Bowling49c1,156$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ff4…c977backed Central Michigan51c1,108$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7505…2b4bbacked Bowling49c1,060$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe8…c18bbacked Bowling49c1,042$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c67…f54bbacked Bowling49c903$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2b…c821backed Bowling49c881$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4e…907ebacked Central Michigan51c870$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f09…49cdbacked Bowling49c821$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6208…af2dbacked Central Michigan51c796$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72dc…4842backed Bowling49c792$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab3…9e47backed Central Michigan51c786$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1e…13f1backed Bowling49c777$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd42…f082backed Bowling49c775$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb99f…08d4backed Central Michigan51c765$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Central Michigan53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7229055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c5…265bbacked Central Michigan51c742$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb11…25f5backed Central Michigan51c733$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70e6…d40fbacked Central Michigan51c713$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96aa…dbecbacked Bowling49c704$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd6…30b2backed Central Michigan51c701$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce1…078abacked Central Michigan51c695$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0a…0f15backed Bowling49c688$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd64…a480backed Central Michigan51c683$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…f1dabacked Bowling49c681$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c4…2c30backed Bowling49c666$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7a…a35dbacked Central Michigan51c663$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02be…8f1dbacked Central Michigan51c663$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff9…c260backed Bowling49c656$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…74b3backed Central Michigan51c655$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe595…3c11backed Central Michigan51c654$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c38…4253backed Bowling49c652$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…e545backed Bowling49c644$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0de…80dcbacked Bowling49c643$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe583…d978backed Central Michigan51c639$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…2a7fbacked Bowling49c631$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c0…ab8cbacked Central Michigan51c626$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d6…6741backed Central Michigan51c614$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a6…2511backed Central Michigan51c606$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa082…1514backed Bowling49c588$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1040…3ebdbacked Central Michigan51c588$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe26b…8fd1backed Central Michigan51c583$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaccd…0538backed Bowling49c582$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…52b3backed Bowling49c573$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466c…730fbacked Bowling49c565$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b69…10eebacked Bowling49c558$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dec…fbffbacked Bowling49c558$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…df54backed Bowling49c556$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…a84cbacked Bowling49c556$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f8…74c0backed Bowling49c553$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33ab…a31ebacked Central Michigan51c551$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e53…f81bbacked Bowling49c548$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedd5…e978backed Bowling49c548$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369a…a7bcbacked Central Michigan51c542$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a9…97e6backed Bowling49c533$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1720…8106backed Bowling49c527$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd1…bc04backed Central Michigan51c526$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b1…5476backed Central Michigan51c525$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8809…702fbacked Bowling49c522$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46bb…40fcbacked Central Michigan51c520$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88f6…8609backed Central Michigan51c517$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x108d…bb7dbacked Central Michigan51c513$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2531…3a30backed Central Michigan51c509$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabc…96c7backed Bowling49c509$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4f7…af94backed Bowling49c509$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1a…65e6backed Bowling49c509$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x037f…1294backed Central Michigan51c499$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb160…a191backed Central Michigan51c498$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf98…30fabacked Bowling49c494$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f66…6939backed Bowling49c488$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6b…fecabacked Central Michigan51c481$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…0316backed Bowling49c480$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fab…a5a2backed Central Michigan51c479$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f2…0cadbacked Central Michigan51c475$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb285…3bf9backed Central Michigan51c474$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec40…2b05backed Central Michigan51c471$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa3…4003backed Central Michigan51c468$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…a6e7backed Central Michigan51c467$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5120…f527backed Central Michigan51c463$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef6…b9f3backed Bowling49c459$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x358a…6e4abacked Bowling49c447$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13b7…e7bbbacked Bowling49c444$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbba…207bbacked Bowling49c444$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf89…9363backed Central Michigan51c443$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8fd…53dfbacked Bowling49c440$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76da…2138backed Central Michigan51c429$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fb…cb66backed Central Michigan51c427$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67c…e1c1backed Central Michigan51c421$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1411…8536backed Bowling49c409$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x890a…22b2backed Central Michigan51c409$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…9ebbbacked Bowling49c409$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc1…fe13backed Central Michigan51c406$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff00…f3e7backed Bowling49c404$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.