Lol · resolved market
LoL: Joblife vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21848fef0b0a39e1b45dcbfc18a3cc0b76e5639d93ace42f2503bb023c90d25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joblifeof Joblife, Vitality.Bee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Vitality.Bee | 34c | 2,770$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.83 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Vitality.Bee | 33c | 1,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Joblife | 69c | 1,439$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.28 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joblife | 65c | 1,148$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.84 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 1,065$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 1,016$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked Vitality.Bee | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality.Bee | 20c | 749.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Vitality.Bee | 33c | 742.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Joblife | 65c | 657.16$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.11 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 655.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Joblife | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Joblife | 65c | 601.32$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Vitality.Bee | 35c | 546.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joblife | 74c | 495.15$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality.Bee | 4c | 488.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Joblife | 61c | 479.14$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.87 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Vitality.Bee | 39c | 461.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Joblife | 64c | 444.52$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Joblife | 69c | 331.37$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Vitality.Bee | 33c | 325.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Vitality.Bee | 39c | 255.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Joblife | 46c | 243.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Vitality.Bee | 35c | 241.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Vitality.Bee | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joblife | 60c | 189.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vitality.Bee | 31c | 157.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Joblife | 72c | 122.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Joblife | 70c | 119.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Vitality.Bee | 15c | 116.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joblife | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Vitality.Bee | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Vitality.Bee | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Joblife | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Joblife | 72c | 80.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Joblife | 64c | 77.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Vitality.Bee | 35c | 76.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Joblife | 65c | 69.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed Vitality.Bee | 41c | 68.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Vitality.Bee | 35c | 60.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Joblife | 59c | 55.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Vitality.Bee | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Vitality.Bee | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Joblife | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Joblife | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Joblife | 78c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…2e58backed Vitality.Bee | 38c | 36.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed Joblife | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Joblife | 69c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Joblife | 64c | 25.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…294abacked Joblife | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.