Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e06c44aed0ec40e5536529bb4230a7a0a7f11973e41bd0c75ac41221ac00aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Rune Eaters, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 477.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.94 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 424.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 198.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 152.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 113.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 107.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 94.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 83.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 62.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 40.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 39.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 39.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 35.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 35.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 28.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…edb2backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 28.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f6…b896backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 26.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…75d2backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 24.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 20.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.