CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ea69f32252d6a4304dc6ff0d51cd4eef3f622c8eb5fa41d9f5bbfe43713be8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof G2, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,866 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed G2 | 3c | 21,695$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.45 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked G2 | 1c | 14,295$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 4,601$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.55 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed G2 | 42c | 4,509$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.74 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed G2 | 0c | 4,195$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,996$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.07 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed G2 | 54c | 2,188$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.46 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,054$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.42 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 | 23c | 1,999$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,253$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked G2 | 57c | 1,045$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.43 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 987.14$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 969.94$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.38 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 896.55$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.55 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 855.49$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed G2 | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed G2 | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 | 51c | 727.27$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.61 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed G2 | 49c | 648.58$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.4 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 | 33c | 615.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed G2 | 62c | 600$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked G2 | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 600$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed G2 | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…06acbacked G2 | 34c | 592.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 | 11c | 571.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 571.38$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked G2 | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed G2 | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 | 57c | 499.46$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 | 56c | 496.11$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.22 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…d181backed G2 | 35c | 423.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed G2 | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 351.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.38 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 | 13c | 351$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed G2 | 59c | 346.88$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 327.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 | 63c | 326.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…b467backed G2 | 61c | 286.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed G2 | 66c | 282.03$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 266.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 263.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…9d3cbacked G2 | 73c | 250.35$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed G2 | 59c | 248.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked G2 | 61c | 214.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed G2 | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed G2 | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed G2 | 8c | 183.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 180.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 178.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked G2 | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 172.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 170.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 163.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed G2 | 56c | 163.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 162.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked G2 | 50c | 160.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 151.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 142.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 141$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked G2 | 48c | 131.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 120.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…025abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed G2 | 43c | 108.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed G2 | 22c | 102.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…c0d1backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked G2 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…ab72backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked G2 | 19c | 98.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed G2 | 33c | 82.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed G2 | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 | 28c | 81.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 | 30c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…5c3cbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 78.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 | 44c | 77.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed G2 | 61c | 74.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 68.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 65.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed G2 | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb452…d901backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 48.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 57c | 45.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 45.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked G2 | 55c | 45.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked G2 | 66c | 45.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.