TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,598 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over51c123,205$62,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,677.3139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c83,771$41,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,723.4622049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under49c13,803$6,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,988.815141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5156…3cb3backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ad…c858backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c8,984$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,483.5910947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under49c6,010$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06546149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c4,308$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.3119455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c4,046$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.23,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.584459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under48c3,521$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.8383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c3,362$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.251,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under49c3,030$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.5435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Under49c2,960$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.3717148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under49c2,449$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.981315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under51c1,146$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4820944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under64c939.19$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.031,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed Over49c608.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under49c592.48$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9819549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed Under49c591.84$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.848644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Under51c588.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.25650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked Under51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under51c478.35$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3915655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over52c443.16$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.933153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c368.01$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.425349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc803…9018backed Over31c326.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Under49c294.12$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under51c290.39$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3917847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Over40c285.88$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over51c241.81$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0110442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Over51c197.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0814843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over55c183.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c178.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1696543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over49c169.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.327735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1525352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under48c147.28$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.581,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf248…72bfbacked Under77c132.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.874557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Under78c128.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6433960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under61c122.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4871951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under50c109.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9322045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Under56c103.3$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under53c101.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7987244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.055662.5%35 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Over46c99.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1711050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Over50c99.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over50c96.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4215436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.453951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2958…3974backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over41c89.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.14425%11 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9128856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…2281backed Over30c82.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Under54c73.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.442263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Under51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Under47c60.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9715765%102 W · 55 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2d5…853dbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x356b…1c3fbacked Over29c57.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.07633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c56.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.024729.8%14 W · 33 L-9.3wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1c63…b653backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over51c46.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.618444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3383…b7debacked Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b8…020dbacked Over50c41.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Under51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.184652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under48c40.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.235153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2857…6485backed Over49c40.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3713…18bfbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under70c39.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under47c38.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4121739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd20…d9eabacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Under55c27.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2670036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Under47c26.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7454346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7449745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Under74c25.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6817546.3%81 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c21.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7f…5c3cbacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109748.5%47 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f18…1a22backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.