TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Indiana Hoosiers vs. UCLA Bruins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Hoosiersof Indiana Hoosiers, UCLA Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1063…18e1backed UCLA Bruins0c8,498$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Indiana Hoosiers45c7,340$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,054.763542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Indiana Hoosiers23c3,877$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.3746446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UCLA Bruins55c3,717$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.991,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed UCLA Bruins68c3,387$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UCLA Bruins40c3,220$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.492,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…cf1bbacked UCLA Bruins21c1,885$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UCLA Bruins63c1,871$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.751,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UCLA Bruins57c1,648$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.115,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Indiana Hoosiers39c1,538$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.4656444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UCLA Bruins52c1,512$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.941,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers37c1,506$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.6712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Indiana Hoosiers39c1,294$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.7816056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed UCLA Bruins63c1,265$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.9513746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Hoosiers40c1,206$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.364,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Indiana Hoosiers44c1,181$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.362,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked UCLA Bruins2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed UCLA Bruins11c999.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11025325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Indiana Hoosiers43c980.6$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.114858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Indiana Hoosiers41c880.38$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.651,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed UCLA Bruins52c879.13$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46014027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana Hoosiers35c863.24$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.031,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked UCLA Bruins59c855.4$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.2515733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Indiana Hoosiers61c735.37$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.216457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Indiana Hoosiers58c727.71$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.642161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Indiana Hoosiers68c670$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.141,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Indiana Hoosiers33c628.57$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.061936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked UCLA Bruins67c600.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Indiana Hoosiers44c595.46$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UCLA Bruins53c533.86$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.213,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Indiana Hoosiers36c529.81$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.082,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Indiana Hoosiers38c509.97$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1811252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed UCLA Bruins43c508$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.995459.3%32 W · 22 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+59.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked UCLA Bruins48c446.09$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.183426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UCLA Bruins55c444.61$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.291,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed UCLA Bruins56c416$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana Hoosiers50c382.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.412,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Hoosiers35c379.06$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.895,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…d79fbacked UCLA Bruins62c349.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UCLA Bruins52c324.08$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.133,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Indiana Hoosiers54c314.64$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4512537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked UCLA Bruins46c307.43$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.427530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Indiana Hoosiers32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc923…a27fbacked UCLA Bruins49c290.02$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Indiana Hoosiers38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Indiana Hoosiers39c245.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Indiana Hoosiers64c243.72$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4214354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Indiana Hoosiers34c240.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked UCLA Bruins62c238$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa810…780abacked Indiana Hoosiers64c231.6$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UCLA Bruins38c230$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.022,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4c…2c5ebacked UCLA Bruins49c220.31$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0272…ef18backed UCLA Bruins48c208.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana Hoosiers56c201.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.493,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5086…5080backed Indiana Hoosiers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick17cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b2…e009backed UCLA Bruins14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22010%2 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked UCLA Bruins64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc847…262fbacked UCLA Bruins14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Indiana Hoosiers51c197.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.484731.9%15 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Indiana Hoosiers45c181.87$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+831%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Indiana Hoosiers60c178.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.356162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67fe…fc61backed UCLA Bruins22c169.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UCLA Bruins58c165$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked UCLA Bruins42c164.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.226023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UCLA Bruins66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked UCLA Bruins49c149.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3545953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x867a…1bb1backed Indiana Hoosiers58c139.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UCLA Bruins57c138.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.881,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Indiana Hoosiers41c137.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.884060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Indiana Hoosiers56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5518167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed UCLA Bruins45c123.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.321,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Hoosiers30c120.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.581,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Indiana Hoosiers37c116$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.088939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed UCLA Bruins43c111.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3966831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed UCLA Bruins58c107.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0725239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Indiana Hoosiers39c102$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2253646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked UCLA Bruins49c101.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Indiana Hoosiers35c101.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.697324.7%18 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked UCLA Bruins14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52de…e0f6backed UCLA Bruins14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2170%0 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked UCLA Bruins14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37017.1%12 W · 58 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Indiana Hoosiers37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed UCLA Bruins44c96.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked UCLA Bruins58c91.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5314062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373f…4275backed UCLA Bruins46c86.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a73…d2d1backed UCLA Bruins66c84.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa90…b224backed UCLA Bruins24c83.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked UCLA Bruins54c80.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.844040%16 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Indiana Hoosiers26c77.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9520024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f94…ce11backed UCLA Bruins31c75.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed UCLA Bruins63c63.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404658.7%27 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UCLA Bruins63c51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.131,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed UCLA Bruins62c49.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5638345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed UCLA Bruins44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f22…3f6cbacked Indiana Hoosiers72c39.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed UCLA Bruins63c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.573447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed UCLA Bruins63c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.943250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked UCLA Bruins55c36.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Indiana Hoosiers38c36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.322,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72c…8ff4backed Indiana Hoosiers47c35.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.