MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc51679f14c2c88c85a7049b454aadecfb672a9caf753655e5e8c5e465785acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 59c | 20,462$12,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,072.87 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 17,422$7,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,278.95 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Mets | 44c | 8,599$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.67 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 0c | 6,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…707dbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 5,957$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 3,871$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.81 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 3,484$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 1c | 2,908$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,896$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.08 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 60c | 2,561$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 1,350$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.8 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 1,282$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Mets | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets | 37c | 897.41$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 896.04$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 34c | 878.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed New York Mets | 58c | 860.54$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 38c | 761.89$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 710$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Mets | 35c | 701.84$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.64 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Mets | 60c | 696.98$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.19 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 620$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 604.15$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked New York Mets | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked New York Mets | 59c | 568.66$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed New York Mets | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 27c | 443.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 405.38$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 34c | 404$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 59c | 400.01$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 48c | 399.56$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 370.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.51 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 357.02$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets | 59c | 323.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 314.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 33c | 295.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 263.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 242.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed New York Mets | 37c | 235$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 233.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 230$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets | 59c | 199.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed New York Mets | 36c | 194.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed New York Mets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Mets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…97f1backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 160.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…e716backed New York Mets | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked New York Mets | 50c | 158.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked New York Mets | 47c | 151.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked New York Mets | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 148.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 147.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 59c | 138.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 138.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 136.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 10c | 135.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Mets | 42c | 135$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 134.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed New York Mets | 57c | 132$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed New York Mets | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked New York Mets | 29c | 121.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 118.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…8e5abacked New York Mets | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked New York Mets | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 106.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked New York Mets | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed New York Mets | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed New York Mets | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 80.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 45c | 76.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Mets | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…77dabacked New York Mets | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…ad43backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 74.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 74.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 880 | 45.1%397 W · 483 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 71.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 13.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 14.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.