MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d4a334cb963cf3513ff9f555bace6cc8b61377b558e9af033df86cf801d96f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 53c | 157,227$83,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,329.49 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Over | 49c | 114,790$56,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,594.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Under | 51c | 41,176$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 22,460$11,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,454.6 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 22,211$11,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,059.21 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Over | 48c | 10,198$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.8 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 51c | 8,040$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.4 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 7,876$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.76 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 53c | 5,553$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.91 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 5,537$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 4,644$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.5 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 3,300$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.66 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 2,868$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.86 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 2,340$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.44 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 1,699$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.1 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 51c | 1,550$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.5 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 66c | 1,060$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.45 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 51c | 1,016$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.86 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked Under | 54c | 997.07$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Under | 54c | 964.6$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 765.05$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.48 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 715.21$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.58 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 607.6$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 47c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 599$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 591.38$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Under | 54c | 544.17$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 501.06$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 51c | 493.35$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 45c | 324.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Over | 47c | 286$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 51c | 278$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 258$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 252$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 223.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 52c | 212.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 209.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 201.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 51c | 188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 50c | 180.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 46c | 177.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 59c | 166.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Under | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 51c | 165.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 163.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 38c | 147.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 147.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 71c | 124$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 109.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 101.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…d402backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Under | 51c | 76.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Over | 69c | 73.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 54c | 71.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 48c | 70.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 53c | 66.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 51c | 63.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 51c | 63.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 59.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 51c | 57.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Under | 54c | 50.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…64dabacked Under | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 13.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 14.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.