TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Evil Geniuses
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe8…3549backed 100 Thieves66c6,614$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.851060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe082…bf4dbacked Evil Geniuses34c4,782$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked 100 Thieves70c4,769$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.3478162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Evil Geniuses21c3,510$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.7317537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Evil Geniuses16c3,452$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0728541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Evil Geniuses20c3,294$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.2426634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Evil Geniuses31c2,775$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.0225046.4%116 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed 100 Thieves80c2,455$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.962065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed Evil Geniuses11c2,192$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.462951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked Evil Geniuses29c1,375$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f38…af70backed 100 Thieves68c1,153$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3691163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Evil Geniuses3c995$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9527411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Evil Geniuses22c992.18$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2131634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses21c869$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.381,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Evil Geniuses13c815.06$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.378746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Evil Geniuses30c814.86$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4626838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Evil Geniuses31c810.18$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7517543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Evil Geniuses11c800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8824732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Evil Geniuses30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed 100 Thieves80c618.11$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.642669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Evil Geniuses31c557.92$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9655152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Evil Geniuses11c524.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.737953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Evil Geniuses32c511.75$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.765040%20 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Evil Geniuses30c470$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14124047.9%115 W · 125 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf95d…7fbcbacked Evil Geniuses12c456.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed Evil Geniuses11c449.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Evil Geniuses34c437.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.863751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed 100 Thieves76c429.91$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1734356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Evil Geniuses30c414.33$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.35125.5%13 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Evil Geniuses30c413.33$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1244630.4%14 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00fb…4442backed Evil Geniuses29c400.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Evil Geniuses14c400$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.221055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Evil Geniuses34c391.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1339052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Evil Geniuses30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025943.2%112 W · 147 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…42b4backed Evil Geniuses13c316$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked 100 Thieves70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0028…fdc6backed Evil Geniuses21c253.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529540%38 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Evil Geniuses25c251.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Evil Geniuses19c246.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4842840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked 100 Thieves72c244.76$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Evil Geniuses31c234.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6410743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses20c229.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.851,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Evil Geniuses19c220.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3293248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda33…f36fbacked 100 Thieves69c207.67$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.031656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Evil Geniuses31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked Evil Geniuses34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses19c195.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9879650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Evil Geniuses23c182.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.659750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Evil Geniuses34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023548.5%114 W · 121 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Evil Geniuses20c173$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7539545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Evil Geniuses33c163.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.022650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7f…59c6backed Evil Geniuses32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed Evil Geniuses16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf75d…4a96backed Evil Geniuses17c153.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae26…35c7backed Evil Geniuses34c149.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…ea80backed 100 Thieves68c147.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.253372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed 100 Thieves69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.935050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked 100 Thieves69c142.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.038151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Evil Geniuses21c133.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Evil Geniuses31c133.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.312650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Evil Geniuses20c132.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc7d…6d8abacked Evil Geniuses33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed 100 Thieves79c127$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.677561.3%46 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b24…bc3cbacked Evil Geniuses15c116.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Evil Geniuses34c112.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9923732.9%78 W · 159 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Evil Geniuses16c112$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4654439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed 100 Thieves69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4518056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed 100 Thieves69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked 100 Thieves69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Evil Geniuses32c99.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.687530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcdc…9fcebacked Evil Geniuses12c98.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa150…1435backed 100 Thieves70c98.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.581844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3b…f7c2backed Evil Geniuses31c94.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.642920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5002…a28fbacked Evil Geniuses25c92.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed Evil Geniuses33c92.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-56.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3460…04fdbacked 100 Thieves67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9a…7436backed Evil Geniuses21c84.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Evil Geniuses32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked 100 Thieves68c71.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.815540%22 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa085…7fccbacked Evil Geniuses32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Evil Geniuses33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.814037.9%53 W · 87 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef65…a496backed Evil Geniuses32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Evil Geniuses30c54.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.271855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb342…c4ecbacked Evil Geniuses32c52.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.955044%22 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8006…e157backed 100 Thieves80c51.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.521573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked 100 Thieves79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6351948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked 100 Thieves62c49.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…15f0backed Evil Geniuses39c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed 100 Thieves67c46.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.249139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x795c…e693backed 100 Thieves68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Evil Geniuses34c44.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x063f…d10fbacked 100 Thieves69c40.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.583243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65d2…2625backed 100 Thieves67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Evil Geniuses35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143129%9 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfebc…0194backed 100 Thieves79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f86…61dfbacked Evil Geniuses33c39.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6acc…4955backed 100 Thieves71c38.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.031573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Evil Geniuses29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.443060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb05b…5e68backed 100 Thieves69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.