Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist Red Foxes vs. Fairfield Stags
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf41ed462b7e2e80d9d630b61794662e93129486cfa9a1d079207460b6f5db639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairfield Stagsof Marist Red Foxes, Fairfield Stags
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Fairfield Stags | 49c | 90,000$44,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Marist Red Foxes | 51c | 90,000$45,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 2,302$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Marist Red Foxes | 52c | 2,090$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.57 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marist Red Foxes | 29c | 1,926$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fairfield Stags | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fairfield Stags | 65c | 1,314$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.62 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 880.09$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Fairfield Stags | 78c | 816$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Marist Red Foxes | 52c | 679.07$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 560$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Marist Red Foxes | 28c | 538.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Fairfield Stags | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Marist Red Foxes | 16c | 433.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marist Red Foxes | 8c | 404.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fairfield Stags | 46c | 399.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Fairfield Stags | 66c | 303.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Fairfield Stags | 72c | 235.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 200.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Fairfield Stags | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Marist Red Foxes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marist Red Foxes | 54c | 183.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 22c | 158.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Marist Red Foxes | 28c | 147.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Marist Red Foxes | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Marist Red Foxes | 29c | 133.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairfield Stags | 67c | 129$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marist Red Foxes | 10c | 126.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 10c | 117.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Marist Red Foxes | 51c | 117.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marist Red Foxes | 23c | 103.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Fairfield Stags | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 96.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Marist Red Foxes | 31c | 86.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Fairfield Stags | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Marist Red Foxes | 18c | 78.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked Fairfield Stags | 58c | 73.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Marist Red Foxes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Fairfield Stags | 46c | 58.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Marist Red Foxes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fairfield Stags | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Marist Red Foxes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…fc1cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 28.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fairfield Stags | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Marist Red Foxes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 20.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 20.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Fairfield Stags | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Marist Red Foxes | 62c | 19.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Marist Red Foxes | 56c | 19.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Marist Red Foxes | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Fairfield Stagsthis page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 137.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.