Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52bf5076070cdb64522ff6c8ea96ac2c8784a39a2f5bb5a305c2fe1b6c6fe117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 59c | 16,415$9,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,730.06 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 59c | 7,757$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 3,448$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.47 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 3,093$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.13 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 44c | 2,618$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 2,188$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 54c | 1,350$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.97 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 41c | 1,307$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.11 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 1,019$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.88 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 675.08$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.68 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 449.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 21c | 432.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 427$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Under | 56c | 323.21$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 272.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 55c | 255.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 45c | 136.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Over | 46c | 127.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 41c | 112$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 46c | 65.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 58c | 47.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Over | 41c | 44.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 41c | 35.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e1…272fbacked Over | 46c | 35.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…e52dbacked Over | 45c | 34.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 45c | 34.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…8895backed Under | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 33.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…0799backed Under | 55c | 32.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 32.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…5597backed Over | 42c | 31.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…edc9backed Under | 55c | 30.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 46c | 29.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…356bbacked Over | 42c | 28.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…431fbacked Over | 46c | 27.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked Under | 55c | 27.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…bc50backed Under | 59c | 26.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 42c | 25.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…3ba8backed Under | 56c | 24.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.