NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc68f62470dcac00ec09b3538a47615c626e19b0dc62aa4e1d1e0a0a64b39e70f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Under | 48c | 51,775$25,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,717.34 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 26,612$13,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,836.22 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 48c | 17,572$8,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.56 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 6,844$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.79 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 51c | 6,559$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.2 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 49c | 4,990$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.8 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 4,800$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.5 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…51a0backed Over | 52c | 2,813$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 52c | 2,070$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.4 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 52c | 701.92$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 48c | 626$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Under | 46c | 342.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…3e1bbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 278.09$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 42c | 256.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 47c | 244$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…6135backed Over | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 47c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 48c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Under | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 32.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 30.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. UtahDevils won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.