NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5f97cd71e03ff4d6908456bd3f3f5f0217340cf30ea308f1a64432d23db7a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Utah, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 68c | 242.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Utah | 32c | 194.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Utah | 32c | 159.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Devils | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Utah | 32c | 147.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Devils | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Devils | 67c | 122$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Devils | 64c | 98.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Devils | 67c | 96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Devils | 67c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Utah | 32c | 82.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Devils | 66c | 82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Devils | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Utah | 33c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Devils | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Devils | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Devils | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Devils | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Devils | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Devils | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Utah | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Devils | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Devils | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Utah | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Devils | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Devils | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Devils | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Devils | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Devils | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Devils | 68c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Devils | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Devils | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…1d2dbacked Devils | 67c | 18.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. UtahDevils won
- Devils vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.