NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5eb3f5295cd288d6a23b8db4b7275a0bb0b212685cdb47dd1ef57a106e78b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 62c | 7,279$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.66 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Over | 40c | 3,841$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 2,096$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 39c | 1,425$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.84 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 41c | 1,418$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.62 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 38c | 1,269$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.54 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 59c | 1,235$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.65 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 40c | 1,037$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 40c | 980.59$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.35 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 38c | 406.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.05 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 59c | 308$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 58c | 167$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 41c | 165.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 58c | 158$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 42c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 40c | 56.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 41c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 51.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Over | 74c | 42.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Over | 39c | 40.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…c0f0backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…1d2dbacked Under | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.