NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2487de5fc446fcd12ca869a06d5399ef43db3bfa9064f8823bfe07d9a7b8ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Hurricanes, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 33c | 3,347$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.37 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 51c | 1,558$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.62 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Panthers | 67c | 1,526$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…b8a4backed Panthers | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…4422backed Hurricanes | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Panthers | 68c | 949$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Hurricanes | 34c | 914.71$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.71 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 67c | 858$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 67c | 740.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.53 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Panthers | 67c | 735$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hurricanes | 39c | 636.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hurricanes | 33c | 634$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.07 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hurricanes | 32c | 516.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 65c | 428.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Panthers | 66c | 297.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Panthers | 66c | 270.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Hurricanes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Hurricanes | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers | 67c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Hurricanes | 35c | 100.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a346backed Panthers | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Panthers | 65c | 71.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Hurricanes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panthers | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Hurricanes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Panthers | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Panthers | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Panthers | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Panthers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.