TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof 76ers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Raptors53c20,925$11,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,745.4336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors55c11,200$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors52c6,953$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.511,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers46c5,564$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.882,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers2c5,100$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.872,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Raptors60c5,089$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.61,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Raptors55c5,009$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.241,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors51c4,883$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.911,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed 76ers50c3,594$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79741553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Raptors50c3,480$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.3911753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers49c3,245$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.932,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers46c2,129$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.872,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers46c1,337$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.612,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors54c1,226$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.473,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers49c1,206$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers50c1,201$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.651,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed 76ers43c1,057$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.851,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Raptors55c1,052$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Raptors55c895$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.72,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers45c787.03$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Raptors52c680.89$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.832,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked 76ers34c653$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8416139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers46c652.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers49c611.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers45c603.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors63c589.97$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed 76ers49c585.4$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8523250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers51c580.76$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Raptors54c542.04$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2831144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Raptors51c531.29$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3335450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers6c503.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed 76ers49c478.82$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6251753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed 76ers30c440.91$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312825%7 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Raptors61c417$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9590957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Raptors52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19240243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Raptors52c385.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.449659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Raptors51c326.87$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad44…db14backed Raptors52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Raptors59c248.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7485147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked 76ers46c243$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed 76ers49c238$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6243052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors54c221.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.053,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed 76ers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed 76ers48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed 76ers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9840346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers46c182.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.142,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Raptors55c180.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4118954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8633246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Raptors48c156.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5863745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers49c154.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.853,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers45c126.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.142,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed 76ers41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Raptors56c118.26$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed 76ers46c113.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1662541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Raptors51c100.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5516853%89 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Raptors57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed 76ers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5450347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Raptors53c93.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1447349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked 76ers47c93.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1410255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed 76ers41c91.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7545542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Raptors52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.411650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked 76ers27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked 76ers41c74.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed 76ers42c69.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Raptors51c66.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5348451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed 76ers46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.916036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed 76ers38c62.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.791,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733e…c558backed Raptors51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Raptors52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4632450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Raptors52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4619940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed Raptors52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464951%25 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9276…081ebacked Raptors52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Raptors49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed 76ers43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Raptors52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5242143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Raptors59c17.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.328556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.