TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,245 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8165…f688backed Over53c7,500$3,975 inWon+$3,5255100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c4,585$2,397 inLost-$2,396.743,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under54c2,917$1,575 inLost-$1,57543453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c2,392$1,146 inLost-$1,146.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost-$1,0003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c1,513$711 inLost-$711.122,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over50c1,167$584 inWon+$583.550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c1,011$505 inLost-$505.393,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over46c450.49$207 inWon+$243.2716139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under6c390.9$22 inLost-$22.442,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon+$177.3613354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb252…56febacked Over52c364.21$189 inWon+$174.822254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c364.21$175 inLost-$174.824,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon+$108.338458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c178$94 inLost-$93.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Under50c167$84 inLost-$83.57749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c120.64$64 inLost-$63.942,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over41c106.9$43 inWon+$63.441,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.3860346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.3811047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c87.25$42 inWon+$45.372,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c72.77$34 inLost-$34.4293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon+$25.5656454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under52c55.42$29 inLost-$29.0288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under50c51.89$26 inLost-$25.8920353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over47c45$21 inWon+$23.6668940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon+$16.9143647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f1…2388backed Over47c31$15 inWon+$16.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over52c28.71$15 inWon+$13.719957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under54c22$12 inLost-$11.8859141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under48c21$10 inLost-$10.0837949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under53c20$11 inLost-$10.61,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e6…5a30backed Over60c20$12 inWon+$83366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.