NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e9fde044c01ee1c0e252c50658e2e0b1e7c5bec7cb2069d0f8631ded61c17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 11,898$5,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,738$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 51c | 1,503$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.34 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 905.77$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 736$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 565$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 338$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 50c | 300.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over | 34c | 250.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +137%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Under | 43c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 91.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 88.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 59.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 57c | 50.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Over | 49c | 47.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Over | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 27.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…709abacked Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Raptors won
- 76ers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 210.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.